HUMANOIDLEDGER
방법론 — 어떤 숫자든 인용하기 전에 먼저 읽어 주세요. 방법론 자체가 신뢰 자산입니다. 아래는 규칙이지 요약이 아닙니다.

Methodology

How the Humanoid Ledger is built, what each number measures, and what it cannot tell you. Last updated 2026-11-08.

1. 이 사이트란

휴머노이드 로봇의 공개 데이터 장부입니다. 검증된 사양, 발표 연표, 공식 영상, 그리고 웹 전체에서 수집한 분석된 보도 — 거기에 이 보도들에서 만든 세 가지 장부(주장 vs 실측, 점수, 문제)가 들어 있습니다. 장부는 독립적이며, 나열된 어떤 제조사와도 관계가 없습니다. 기장의 규칙은 단순합니다. 출처가 있는 것만 적고, 검증되지 않은 것은 숫자를 짐작하지 않고 "미발표"라고 적습니다.

2. Seed data — verified before entry

The 12 models, 31 release events and 8 official videos were each checked against a vendor page or a trade-press report before entry (seeded 2026-11-06). Every row carries its source link. Prices are vendor-published only: target prices, estimates and unconfirmed reports live in the notes field, never in the price column. Where a figure is unpublished or unverified, the cell says Not stated rather than a guess.

3. Live coverage — sources and the relevance gate

Hacker News (Algolia API), Google News RSS (with Bing News RSS as fallback when Google rate-limits the Worker egress), tech-blog RSS (The Verge, Engadget, Wired, TechCrunch, IEEE Spectrum, The Robot Report, PCMag, Tom’s Guide, 9to5Google, Road to VR, UploadVR), YouTube search pages, and Reddit via Google News. Ingest runs hourly. An item counts for a model only when its headline names the product — vendor + model where the name alone is ambiguous (e.g. “Apollo” only counts with “Apptronik”, “Digit” only with “Agility”, “Atlas” only with “Boston Dynamics”). Items that fail the gate are counted as skipped, not silently dropped.

4. Per-article analysis

Each article is analyzed once by Workers AI (Llama 3.1 8B, max 2048 tokens, JSON only): a 1–3 paragraph summary plus structured extraction — sentiment index, comparison, usage time, recommendation index, per-aspect scores, verifiable claims, issues, and the author’s verdict. The model is instructed never to invent numbers, quotes, durations or facts not present in the evidence; undeterminable fields are null, never invented.

5. Evidence checking (what survives, what is dropped)

Two hard guards run on every analysis before it is stored. First, a compared product is kept only if its name appears in the evidence text (title + snippet + body excerpt); anything else is dropped as model invention, and the compares-with flag is recomputed from the surviving list. Second, a verdict quote is kept only if the exact quote appears in the evidence text; otherwise it is stored as null. Aspect scores are restricted to eight aspects — locomotion, dexterity, battery, payload, autonomy, safety, software, price — each scored −100 to +100 only when the article actually discusses that aspect.

6. The scoring decision — what the three retained fields are, and are not

Decision (2026-11-07): the sentiment index (0–100), the recommendation index (0–100) and the author verdict (buy / wait / skip / mixed, with the author’s own words) are retained in full, in the article cards, in the metrics pages and in the three ledgers. They are kept because they measure the source content and its author — the stance of an article, and the conclusion its author reached — not this site’s judgement of any product. This site issues no rating, no ranking, no recommendation and no prediction of its own: there is no site score anywhere on the ledger, no “best model” list, and no verdict written by us. That is the whole of the exception, and it is the only exception: the general rule for this ledger is the same as the no-scores rule — record what happened, cite the source, add no judgement of our own. The three retained fields are presented with their provenance (which article, analyzed from snippet or full text, with what confidence), with nulls counted and never filled in, so a reader can always see how thin the underlying signal is — for example, the recommendation index is not determined in 308 of 329 analyzed articles, because most coverage is news, not a buying recommendation.

7. 세 가지 장부

주장 vs 실측은 각 분석의 key_claims를 가져옵니다. 주장은 모델이 실측값을 실제로 밝혔을 때만 실측값과 함께 나열됩니다(2026-11-08 기준 289건의 주장 중 55건). 나머지는 제조사나 출처의 주장으로 그대로 기록됩니다 — 나열만 할 뿐 검증하지 않습니다. 점수는 sentiment_index와 recommendation_index를 집계합니다(분포, 건수, 평균은 null이 아닌 값만) 그리고 저자 결론 건수. 문제는 issues[]를 동일한 문구로 묶어 모델별로 나눕니다. 장부에 해당 모델의 행이 없으면 "기록 없음"이라고 표시하고, 절대 0이라고 쓰지 않습니다. 라이브 엔드포인트: /api/ledger/claims-vs-measured, /api/ledger/scores, /api/ledger/issues(모두 ?model=<key>를 받습니다).

8. Limitations — read before quoting a number

9. Corrections

Errors are corrected in the open and logged here, not silently fixed.

10. 아카이브 — 2026년 11월 7일에 추가

Five vendor documents are archived as a baseline (Figure 03 announcement, Unitree G1 product page, Boston Dynamics Atlas product page, Agility Digit solutions page, 1X NEO order page), each with a SHA-256 fingerprint of the raw fetch and of the cleaned text, a 6-character seal and a 64-bit SimHash. The baseline is the first archived version; every later check compares the live document against it and records any change in doc_changes (currently 0 rows — 0 changes means nothing has changed since the baseline, not that nothing is watched). Live endpoint: /api/archive; page: /archive/. The Tesla Optimus official page could not be baselined: tesla.com returns 403 to this fetcher. It will be retried with a rendered fetch; until then it is listed on /archive/ as not baselined, not silently omitted.

11. 오픈 데이터 — 2026년 11월 7일에 추가

Every dataset behind this site is open JSON with no key. /data/ lists the catalogue with denominators and coverage; /api/open-data returns the same catalogue live, including a row count for every D1 table. Live endpoint: /api/open-data.

12. 2단계 표 — 영구 표, 2026년 11월 7일에 채움

Four persistent tables were backfilled from the 330 analyzed articles (snapshot 7 Nov 2026, 20:10 EST) and are served live with a ?model= filter. experience_records (55 rows): every key_claim that carries a measured value, classified by metric (locomotion, dexterity, battery, payload, autonomy, safety, software, price, other) — the value is the number as stated in the article, not an independent lab measurement. review_scores (224 rows): one row per analyzed article that carries a sentiment index, a recommendation index or a verdict — metadata only (reviewer = article source, score / 100, date, URL, aspects tested), no quoted opinion text. failure_modes (93 rows): issues clustered per model by identical wording, with mention counts, first/last seen dates and up to 3 source URLs. resale_snapshots (1 row): the G1, with used_price_median NULL — no used-sold market exists for humanoid robots in any reachable public source (see §13). Live endpoints: /api/experience, /api/review-scores, /api/failure-modes, /api/resale.

13. 역사 — 과거·현재·미래 세 구간이 온전하며, 여전히 0인 항목과 그 이유

장부는 과거·현재·미래 세 구간을 온전하게 기록합니다. 현재의 0을 출발점으로 삼아 미래의 변화만 기다리는 일은 결코 없습니다. 역사는 기준선이며, 기준선이 없으면 미래의 변화는 의미가 없습니다. 그래서 모든 차원을 공개 출처와 수집된 기사가 미치는 범위까지 채워 넣습니다. 2026년 11월 7일 채움 결과(분석된 기사 330편, 2026-11-07 20:10 EST 스냅샷)와 검증된 공개 기록은 다음과 같습니다.

14. 출처