Methodology
How the Humanoid Ledger is built, what each number measures, and what it cannot tell you. Last updated 2026-11-08.
1. このサイトとは
ヒューマノイドロボットの公開データ台帳です。検証済みの仕様、発表年表、公式動画、そしてウェブ全体から集めた分析済みの報道——さらにそれらから作られた三つの台帳(主張 vs 実測、スコア、問題)が入っています。台帳は独立したもので、掲載するいかなるメーカーとも関係がありません。記帳の決まりは単純です。出典があるものだけを記し、未検証のものは数字を推測するのではなく「未公表」と書きます。
2. Seed data — verified before entry
The 12 models, 31 release events and 8 official videos were each checked against a vendor page or a trade-press report before entry (seeded 2026-11-06). Every row carries its source link. Prices are vendor-published only: target prices, estimates and unconfirmed reports live in the notes field, never in the price column. Where a figure is unpublished or unverified, the cell says Not stated rather than a guess.
3. Live coverage — sources and the relevance gate
Hacker News (Algolia API), Google News RSS (with Bing News RSS as fallback when Google rate-limits the Worker egress), tech-blog RSS (The Verge, Engadget, Wired, TechCrunch, IEEE Spectrum, The Robot Report, PCMag, Tom’s Guide, 9to5Google, Road to VR, UploadVR), YouTube search pages, and Reddit via Google News. Ingest runs hourly. An item counts for a model only when its headline names the product — vendor + model where the name alone is ambiguous (e.g. “Apollo” only counts with “Apptronik”, “Digit” only with “Agility”, “Atlas” only with “Boston Dynamics”). Items that fail the gate are counted as skipped, not silently dropped.
4. Per-article analysis
Each article is analyzed once by Workers AI (Llama 3.1 8B, max 2048 tokens, JSON only): a 1–3 paragraph summary plus structured extraction — sentiment index, comparison, usage time, recommendation index, per-aspect scores, verifiable claims, issues, and the author’s verdict. The model is instructed never to invent numbers, quotes, durations or facts not present in the evidence; undeterminable fields are null, never invented.
5. Evidence checking (what survives, what is dropped)
Two hard guards run on every analysis before it is stored. First, a compared product is kept only if its name appears in the evidence text (title + snippet + body excerpt); anything else is dropped as model invention, and the compares-with flag is recomputed from the surviving list. Second, a verdict quote is kept only if the exact quote appears in the evidence text; otherwise it is stored as null. Aspect scores are restricted to eight aspects — locomotion, dexterity, battery, payload, autonomy, safety, software, price — each scored −100 to +100 only when the article actually discusses that aspect.
6. The scoring decision — what the three retained fields are, and are not
Decision (2026-11-07): the sentiment index (0–100), the recommendation index (0–100) and the author verdict (buy / wait / skip / mixed, with the author’s own words) are retained in full, in the article cards, in the metrics pages and in the three ledgers. They are kept because they measure the source content and its author — the stance of an article, and the conclusion its author reached — not this site’s judgement of any product. This site issues no rating, no ranking, no recommendation and no prediction of its own: there is no site score anywhere on the ledger, no “best model” list, and no verdict written by us. That is the whole of the exception, and it is the only exception: the general rule for this ledger is the same as the no-scores rule — record what happened, cite the source, add no judgement of our own. The three retained fields are presented with their provenance (which article, analyzed from snippet or full text, with what confidence), with nulls counted and never filled in, so a reader can always see how thin the underlying signal is — for example, the recommendation index is not determined in 308 of 329 analyzed articles, because most coverage is news, not a buying recommendation.
7. 三つの台帳
主張 vs 実測は各分析の key_claims を取ります。主張に実測値が付くのは、モデルが実測値を実際に述べた場合だけです(2026-11-08 時点で 289 件の主張のうち 55 件)。残りはメーカーや出典の主張としてそのまま記録されます——列挙するだけで、検証はしません。スコアは sentiment_index と recommendation_index を集計します(分布、件数、平均は非 null の値のみ)および著者の結論の件数。問題は issues[] を同一文言で集計し、モデル別に分けます。台帳にそのモデルの行がない場合は「記録なし」と表示し、決して 0 とは書きません。ライブエンドポイント:/api/ledger/claims-vs-measured、/api/ledger/scores、/api/ledger/issues(いずれも ?model=<key> を受け付けます)。
8. Limitations — read before quoting a number
- Most analysis is snippet-based. As of 2026-11-08, 307 of 329 analyzed articles were analyzed from the title + snippet only (22 from full text). A snippet-based analysis can miss context the full article contains; analyzed_from is shown on every card.
- Hacker News is one narrow audience. HN mentions represent the English-speaking technical community only; they are not a proxy for the public, for buyers, or for non-English discussion.
- Coverage is a starting set, not the universe. The ledger tracks 12 models; our November 2026 audit identified roughly 135–145 distinct current humanoid models across trackers. Models outside the 12 are absent, not rated zero.
- News sources are rate-limited. Google News repeatedly rate-limits the Worker egress; the ingest falls back to Bing News RSS. Gaps in a day’s intake usually mean a source failed, not that nothing happened.
- Document archiving. Added 7 Nov 2026 — see §11. Vendor pages are now archived with SHA-256 dual fingerprints, a seal and a SimHash; changes are recorded from the baseline. One gap remains: the Tesla Optimus official page returns 403 to this fetcher, so it has no baseline yet.
- Price history, deployment data, safety/failure registry. Price history was added 7 Nov 2026 — see /history/ and §13 (8 dated, sourced price points; the G1 is the only model with a documented price change). Deployment counts and operating hours still appear only as notes; there is no structured recall or accident table.
- AI extraction is fallible. Claims, issues and aspect scores are model extractions from the evidence, guarded as described in §5 — but a guard can only check what is in the evidence text. Treat every extracted row as a pointer back to its source article, not as a verified fact.
9. Corrections
Errors are corrected in the open and logged here, not silently fixed.
- 2026-11-07 — Sanctuary AI Phoenix: status corrected from “research/pilot” to “legacy — pivoted to software-only (June 2026)”. The company stopped positioning the whole humanoid as its product in June 2026; the model page now says so and the June 2026 pivot is in the release timeline.
10. アーカイブ——2026 年 11 月 7 日に追加
Five vendor documents are archived as a baseline (Figure 03 announcement, Unitree G1 product page, Boston Dynamics Atlas product page, Agility Digit solutions page, 1X NEO order page), each with a SHA-256 fingerprint of the raw fetch and of the cleaned text, a 6-character seal and a 64-bit SimHash. The baseline is the first archived version; every later check compares the live document against it and records any change in doc_changes (currently 0 rows — 0 changes means nothing has changed since the baseline, not that nothing is watched). Live endpoint: /api/archive; page: /archive/. The Tesla Optimus official page could not be baselined: tesla.com returns 403 to this fetcher. It will be retried with a rendered fetch; until then it is listed on /archive/ as not baselined, not silently omitted.
11. オープンデータ——2026 年 11 月 7 日に追加
Every dataset behind this site is open JSON with no key. /data/ lists the catalogue with denominators and coverage; /api/open-data returns the same catalogue live, including a row count for every D1 table. Live endpoint: /api/open-data.
12. 第二期の表——永続表、2026 年 11 月 7 日に埋め戻し
Four persistent tables were backfilled from the 330 analyzed articles (snapshot 7 Nov 2026, 20:10 EST) and are served live with a ?model= filter. experience_records (55 rows): every key_claim that carries a measured value, classified by metric (locomotion, dexterity, battery, payload, autonomy, safety, software, price, other) — the value is the number as stated in the article, not an independent lab measurement. review_scores (224 rows): one row per analyzed article that carries a sentiment index, a recommendation index or a verdict — metadata only (reviewer = article source, score / 100, date, URL, aspects tested), no quoted opinion text. failure_modes (93 rows): issues clustered per model by identical wording, with mention counts, first/last seen dates and up to 3 source URLs. resale_snapshots (1 row): the G1, with used_price_median NULL — no used-sold market exists for humanoid robots in any reachable public source (see §13). Live endpoints: /api/experience, /api/review-scores, /api/failure-modes, /api/resale.
13. 歴史——過去・現在・未来の三段がそろい、なお 0 の項目とその理由
台帳は過去・現在・未来の三段をそろえて記録します。現在の 0 を起点にして、未来の変化を待つだけ、ということは決してありません。歴史はベースラインであり、ベースラインがなければ未来の変化に意味はありません。だからこそ、すべての次元を公開情報源と収集済み記事の及ぶ範囲で埋め戻します。2026 年 11 月 7 日の埋め戻し結果(分析済み記事 330 本、2026-11-07 20:10 EST のスナップショット)と検証済みの公開記録は次のとおりです。
- 主張:289 件を埋め戻し(うち実測値つき 55 件、そのうち実機テストによるもの 6 件)。問題:94 件。結論:スコア行 224 件、うち著者の結論つき 112 件。価格:日付と出典のある価格ポイント 8 件。発表:31 件、2019-02-19 – 2026-10-26。言及:モデル-月 28 件、2026-09 – 2026-11。全行:/api/history。ページ:/history/。
- 価格史は、明確な変動がある唯一の次元です。Unitree G1 は発売価格 $16,000(2024 年 5 月)→ 2025 年 12 月 24 日までに $13,500 へ。一度の値下げで、ストアのアーカイブ画面で区切れます(2025-10-16 時点ではまだ $16,000、2025-12-24 時点では $13,500)。H1 の約 $90,000 と NEO の $20,000 は、それぞれ発表時点の一点と 2026-11-07 の観測一点があり、変動は確認されていません。残り 9 機種に公表価格はありません。「未公表」であり、0 ではありません。価格行もありません。
- なお 0 の項目とその理由。(1)中古成約価格の中央値:中古スナップショット 1 行のうち、中央値つきは 0 行。ヒューマノイドロボットに中古成約市場は存在しません——手の届く公開情報源のどこにもありません。eBay に中古 G1 の成約履歴はなく、Swappa にヒューマノイドの製品ページはなく、公表された成約中央値もありません。再販業者の提示価格はあります(Maverick $17,363、RCSV $21,500)が、あれは新品の提示価格であって中古成約価格ではないため、中央値としては記録しません。次のスナップショットで再試行します。(2)独立した実験室の測定:0。公開情報源に、このサイトの口径に合う構造化された独立実験室のデータはありません。experience_records の 55 行は記事の原文にある実測値であり、実験室の測定とは分けて記録し、混ぜません。(3)記録された問題が 0 のモデルが 4 機種:Agility Digit 4、Boston Dynamics Atlas、Fourier GR-2、Unitree H1——分析済み記事が問題を報告しなかったのであり、問題ゼロを測定したのではありません。(4)実測値つき主張が 0 のモデルが 4 機種:Figure 03、Fourier GR-2、Sanctuary AI Phoenix、XPENG Iron——分析済み報道の主張に実測値がありませんでした。(5)doc_changes:0 行——ベースラインは 2026 年 11 月 7 日に取られ、それ以降変化はありません。次のチェックで変化があれば記録します。(6)Tesla Optimus の文書ベースライン:0——tesla.com がこのサイトの取得に 403 を返すためです。次のスナップショットでレンダリング取得により再試行します。
14. 出典
- Vendor pages and press releases (Tesla, Figure AI, Unitree, Boston Dynamics, Apptronik, Agility Robotics, 1X, Sanctuary AI, Fourier, XPENG).
- Trade press: The Verge, Engadget, Wired, TechCrunch, IEEE Spectrum, The Robot Report.
- Hacker News (Algolia API, public, no key), Google News RSS, Bing News RSS, YouTube search pages.